Confidence is persuasive. In artificial intelligence systems, it is often misleading. Today's most capable reasoning models ...

Artificial intelligence (AI) is no longer a distant possibility. It's likely already a part of your daily life, whether that means Spotify recommending your next favorite song or Copilot summarizing ...

From smarter hypothesis testing with e-values to AI systems that model emotions, Bayesian methods and probabilistic reasoning are transforming how machines—and humans—make decisions under uncertainty.