Jerome Powell named interim Fed Chair until Kevin Warsh takes over. Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026 at 99.8% YES.

Israeli airstrikes hit southern Lebanon, escalating regional conflict. Israel closes its airspace by May 31 at 30.5% YES.

Jerome Powell stepped down as Fed Chair, confirming market expectations. Powell out by May 31, 2026 at 99.9% YES.

Meanwhile, the Fed rate cuts prediction market indicates a 67% YES probability that there will be no rate cuts in 2026, down slightly from 70% a day ago. ## Key Takeaways – Market behavior suggests a ...

Grayscale reports U.S. inflation delays Fed rate cuts until September 2027. Rate cut in June and July at 1% YES.

Israel targeted a Hamas commander amid escalating military operations. Ceasefire extension by May 15 now at 9.5% YES.

Stephen Miran resigns from the Federal Reserve Board, clearing a seat for Kevin Warsh, confirmed as the next Fed chair with ...

THORChain exploit steals $11M across major networks, highlighting ongoing security and laundering challenges in DeFi space.

Lombard is migrating more than $1 billion in Bitcoin-backed assets to Chainlink’s Cross Chain Interoperability Protocol as ...

WTI Crude Oil Prices on May 15 are currently priced at 4% YES for closing above $105. Market activity reflects a significant drop from 42% YES seen 24 hours ago. The WTI Crude Oil Movement on May 15 ...

SpaceX’s public ticker market is currently priced at 1% YES for $SPAX, down from 3% 24 hours ago. The IPO prediction market ...

Currently, the likelihood of SpaceX’s ticker being $SPAX is priced at 0.2% YES, a decrease from 3% 24 hours ago. SpaceX IPO ...